Gallup Survey forecast about general elections held on February 8, 2024 in Pakistan proved to be correct

ISLAMABAD, Feb 13 (SABAH): Gallup Survey forecast about general elections held on February 8, 2024 in Pakistan proved to be correct. In Punjab and the federal capital, elections results were approximately similar to each other. During general elections, Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) bagged 35 % votes; vote share of PML-N 33 % whereas in Gallup Survey it was supposed to be 32 %. In the survey, Pakistan People’s Party (PPP) share had been supposed to be 6 % and it obtained the same share of 6 %. According to Gallup Pakistan, in Punjab turn out remained 51 %, Sindh 42 %, KPK 40 % and Balochistan 40% too.

Executive Director Gallup Pakistan Bilal Ejaz Gillani has issued initial report. According to the report, PTI regarding KPK was 45 % during the elections while it obtained 46% votes.

According to survey JUI-F was 15 % while in general elections it bagged 15-75 % votes. In survey, PML-N was 9% while PPP’s share was 7 % and during general elections its vote remained 6%. Whereas the voter turnout in Pakistan’s 12th General Elections-2024 remained 47.3%.

All provinces saw decline in voter turnout. The voter turnout in Punjab remained 51 percent, Sindh 42 percent, Khyber Pakhtunkha 40 percent and Balochistan 40 percent.

Highest turnout seats were in Tharparkar, Bhakkar and Bhawalpur; meanwhile lowest turnout seats were in Waziristan, Khyber and surprisingly Karachi South 3 (which had 23% turnout).

2.8 percent votes were rejected in GE-2024. Rejected votes were high in Sindh and Balochistan.

Vote share and seat share differences continued to show up in GE-2024. In KP PTI was beneficiary of first past the post, in Karachi and in Punjab it was a major loser. Similar situation for PPP and smaller parties like TLP who got no seat despite 5% vote bank.