The doomed Asia-Pacific strategy of the US…Azhar Azam
Asia-Pacific is the US priority theatre of operations and lies at the heart of Americas grand strategy to assert global hegemony. US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin last year outlined the region as center of strategic gravity to gang up regional states against China, while trying to claim Washington wasnt splitting the region into hostile blocs.
The Biden administration contends it doesnt want competition with China to veer into a conflict. But US officials continue to accuse China of taking aggressive actions and tempting Asia-Pacific countries with a delusive gravitational pull of freedom. Within this grand strategy, US intelligence community accuses China of dominating the region, driving wedges between America and its partners and extending Chinese influence, particularly in East Asia and the western Pacific, while itself conducting military exercises around sensitive regional waterways.
An explicit intent is to rally allies under pretense of deterrence and protection against China, contain Beijings rise and reinstate US role as worlds sole superpower. Japans major shift from a pacifist nation to a menacing force, signaling the biggest military posture since World War II, is welcomed and praised because an unprecedented defense budget increase will boost arms production and profit the US military-industrial complex.
Contrarily, Chinas defense spending at $224 billion is dwarfed by Pentagons budget of more than $1.7 trillion for the fiscal year 2023, which focuses on executing aggressive military plans and operations. In addition, America is a consistent threat to the regions peace and stability as it has the largest aviation force in Asia-Pacific with more than half of its fighter planes comprising fourth or fifth generation models.
Former US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo last year suggested America must make three lighthouses of liberty (Israel, Chinas Taiwan region and Ukraine) the hubs of new security architecture in the Middle East, East Asia and Europe and link these bastions with NATO and the new and expanded security framework of Asia-Pacific to form a global alliance for freedom.
His concept may have not been officially endorsed by the Biden administration, but it has increased Europes security dependence on the US, pitted Mideast countries against each other and is trying to take advantage of the Ukraine crisis to mend its frayed relations with its partners in Asia-Pacific. Washington is doing so by stoking tensions and increasing arms sales to regional states as well as reinvigorating four-nation QUAD and trilateral AUKUS alliances not just to encircle China but to impose its leadership on region.
Yet the strategy is backfiring. Chinas emergence as a peace-broker between Saudi Arabia and Iran is shattering Americas great plan. The US attempt to use the Ukraine conflict as a conduit to restore its global hegemony is challenged by some wealthy, powerful and democratic US allies that have maintained their autonomy.
Given that regional organisations such as Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and the African Union are focused on regional development rather than catching fever of US fixation with China, other Asia-Pacific states will be cautious of aligning too closely with Washington and may pursue an independent foreign policy.
The framing of competition with China by Republican Mike Gallagher, the chairman of the House China Task Force, as an existential struggle, is both misguided and risky. The committee forged out of paranoia (and) hysteria which tends to get locked into groupthink and xenophobic mindset as the US actively seeks to contain China and derail its technological progress. This approach will inevitably escalate tensions between China and the US and make engagement even more difficult.
Communication channels between the two militaries froze after the China-US relations ebbed over Americas hyperboles on the balloon saga. US defense officials dubbed lack of communication as destabilizing and dangerous yet by calling off US Secretary of State Antony Blinkens trip to China, shooting down a Chinese object with a missile, planting NATO clones such as QUAD and AUKUS in Asia-Pacific, the US has exposed its petty-minded approach to circumscribe China and its inclination to shutter communication channels.
The Biden administration has clearly set out its ambition, which is to implement the 2022 National Defense Strategy to tackle the pacing challenge from China. As part of this strategy, a US-led systematic campaign is underway to attribute false threats to China with claims of Southeast Asian states likely to become wearier participants in the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).
But theres a catch: the US Indo-Pacific Economic Framework, which means to advance the US Indo-Pacific Strategy, is more of a showpiece for it actually delivers very little to the region, especially to ASEAN. In contrast, Chinese infrastructure and development projects such as the BRI and the Global Development Initiative are lionised by regional states, indicating Asia-Pacific doesnt want to become an avenue of a great power competition.
At the first anniversary of the US Indo-Pacific Strategy, Biden administrations primary focus remains QUAD and AUKUS, both of which take frequent mentions in State Departments latest report. But in Southeast Asia, nations have never greeted the military alliances with skepticism. They have criticised AUKUS for its propensity to trigger arms races in the region and remained concerned about these anti-peace and provocative security partnerships. As a result, the US grand strategy is condemned to failure.
Courtesy The Express Tribune, April 1st, 2023.